U.S. Snowy Setup
The system responsible for the snow will organize near southern New England Thursday night.
Another blast of cold air will move in behind this system and it will likely be cold enough for some accumulating snow from eastern Ohio into northern New England.
Timing of Precipitation
On Thursday, a stripe of light snow, possibly mixed with light freezing drizzle, may stretch from the Ohio Valley into the interior Northeast and northern New England.
Precipitation may begin as a mix of rain and snow in parts of upstate New York and then change to rain in the afternoon before transitioning to snow Thursday night.
Rain may change to snow late Thursday into early Friday from central Pennsylvania into central New England. Snow will persist from northeastern Ohio into much of Maine.
There are a few reasons why snow will likely not be seen close to the Interstate 95 urban corridor, including:
– Surface air will stay warm because the ground is still warm and cold air will not be in place ahead of the system.
-The track of the center of the system will likely be near the Northeast coast, which would keep snow limited to the interior.
-This system shouldn’t strengthen until it moves away from the Northeast. This will allow most of the precipitation from New Jersey to Boston to fall in the form of rain
How Much Snow?
Generally light snowfall accumulations will be found across the interior Northeast. This includes areas from northern Pennsylvania to upstate New York, New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. Several inches of snow are possible in the higher elevations.
This could be the first measurable snow of the season in cities such as Buffalo and Syracuse, New York; Burlington, Vermont; and Bangor, Maine.
The average date of the first measurable snow is around Nov. 4 or 5 for Buffalo, Syracuse and Burlington. This week’s snow could be earlier than average in Bangor, where the average first snow occurs around Nov. 20. Measurable snow is defined as 0.1 inches or greater.
UK forecast for the next 5 days
Heavy rain across Northern England today. Brighter elsewhere.
Rain across northern England and north Wales, will be heavy at times with a risk of flooding. Brighter elsewhere but with showers, heavy near coasts. Windy in places coastal gales in parts of southwest and northeast England. Feeling cold.
Rain gradually easing across northern England and north Wales. Clearer skies in south with areas of mist and fog developing by dawn. Cold and frosty in Scotland and Northern Ireland.
Rain slowly clearing away south, with mist and fog slow to clear. Drier and brighter elsewhere with sunny spells during the afternoon.
Outlook for Saturday to Monday:
Cold with patchy fog early Saturday before rain, with hill snow in the north, spreads east, clearing south through Sunday. Showers follow, ahead of further rain and hill snow Monday